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A winning streak can make a good team look like a good bet but beware of...

https://paxtonsexpertop-ed.zenbloomer.com/posts/how-do-oddsmakers-price-uncertainty-early-in-a-season

A winning streak can make a good team look like a good bet but beware of inflated odds. For example, a team priced at +130 early can shorten to -140 after a few wins. That shift often means the market is overvaluing recent form, not the true edge

Submitted on 2026-09-19 23:45:16

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